Difference between revisions of "AI timelines"
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| + | '''AI timelines''' refers to the question of when we will see advanced AI technology. | ||
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For now, see [[List of disagreements in AI safety#AI timelines]] | For now, see [[List of disagreements in AI safety#AI timelines]] | ||
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| + | ==Usage of the term== | ||
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| + | TODO: explain things like "short timelines", "long timelines", "my timelines" | ||
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| + | ==Standalone estimates of AI timelines== | ||
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| + | * [[Fractional progress argument for AI timelines]] | ||
| + | * [[Hardware argument for AI timelines]] | ||
| + | * [[Laplace's rule of succession argument for AI timelines]] | ||
| + | * [[Statistical analysis of expert timelines argument for AI timelines]] | ||
| + | * [[Reference class forecasting on human achievements argument for AI timelines]] | ||
==See also== | ==See also== | ||
Latest revision as of 01:36, 5 April 2021
AI timelines refers to the question of when we will see advanced AI technology.
For now, see List of disagreements in AI safety#AI timelines
Usage of the term
TODO: explain things like "short timelines", "long timelines", "my timelines"
Standalone estimates of AI timelines
- Fractional progress argument for AI timelines
- Hardware argument for AI timelines
- Laplace's rule of succession argument for AI timelines
- Statistical analysis of expert timelines argument for AI timelines
- Reference class forecasting on human achievements argument for AI timelines
