Difference between revisions of "Importance of knowing about AI takeoff"
| (4 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown) | |||
| Line 2: | Line 2: | ||
* Weight on [[AI prepping]]: In a FOOM scenario it is unlikely that there are any selfish actions that benefit individuals, so one should shift those resources into either altruistic actions (like helping with alignment) or short-term consumption. In contrast, with more continuous takeoff, AI prepping becomes relatively more important. | * Weight on [[AI prepping]]: In a FOOM scenario it is unlikely that there are any selfish actions that benefit individuals, so one should shift those resources into either altruistic actions (like helping with alignment) or short-term consumption. In contrast, with more continuous takeoff, AI prepping becomes relatively more important. | ||
| + | * Working to mitigate specific threats: e.g. if one expects AI-powered propaganda to be a thing during AI takeoff, then it makes sense to spend time thinking about it now. | ||
| + | * Under some scenarios we should expect to see [[warning shots]]/early misalignment, whereas in others we should expect a [[treacherous turn]]. This has consequences for how careful we should be about alignment/how much of an "on-paper understanding" we should have about alignment. | ||
| + | |||
| + | TODO: more listed at the bottom of https://sideways-view.com/2018/02/24/takeoff-speeds/ | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==See also== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * [[Importance of knowing about AI timelines]] | ||
[[Category:AI safety]] | [[Category:AI safety]] | ||
Latest revision as of 02:13, 5 March 2021
Importance of knowing about AI takeoff is about the "so what?" of knowing which AI takeoff scenario will happen. How will our actions change if we expect a FOOM or a continuous takeoff or some other scenario?
- Weight on AI prepping: In a FOOM scenario it is unlikely that there are any selfish actions that benefit individuals, so one should shift those resources into either altruistic actions (like helping with alignment) or short-term consumption. In contrast, with more continuous takeoff, AI prepping becomes relatively more important.
- Working to mitigate specific threats: e.g. if one expects AI-powered propaganda to be a thing during AI takeoff, then it makes sense to spend time thinking about it now.
- Under some scenarios we should expect to see warning shots/early misalignment, whereas in others we should expect a treacherous turn. This has consequences for how careful we should be about alignment/how much of an "on-paper understanding" we should have about alignment.
TODO: more listed at the bottom of https://sideways-view.com/2018/02/24/takeoff-speeds/
