List of timelines for futuristic technologies
what are all of the "default timelines" of various technologies?
- de novo AGI
- whole brain emulation
- nanotechnology
- iterated embryo selection
- genome synthesis + other stuff mentioned in https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection#overview-of-major-approaches
- anti-aging
there are also various kinds of timelines:
- "default timeline"
- timeline given lots of additional funding
- timeline given current levels of interest in the thing
there's also the question of relative vs absolute timelines. given all the "game-changing technologies", it makes sense to focus on the one that relatively speaking will come first. but also, if all of them are far off, we can do more strategizing/indirect stuff.
