List of breakthroughs plausibly needed for AGI

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  • Looking at things like The MIT Encyclopedia of the Cognitive Sciences and Judea Pearl's work on causality and trying to estimate how many insights are required to build an AGI.[1]

see https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5WECpYABCT62TJrhY/will-ai-undergo-discontinuous-progress#The_Conceptual_Arguments

this isn't the same thing, but it's doing a similar sort of thing of asking "how will AGI be different from current ML systems?" http://www.foldl.me/2018/conceptual-issues-ai-safety-paradigmatic-gap/#potential-paradigmatic-changes-in-ai

References