Difference between revisions of "List of arguments against working on AI safety"

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* [[Short-term altruist argument against AI safety]]: focusing on long-term issues (e.g. ensuring the survival of humanity over the long term) turns out not to be important, or it turns out to be too difficult to figure out how to affect the long-term future.
 
* [[Short-term altruist argument against AI safety]]: focusing on long-term issues (e.g. ensuring the survival of humanity over the long term) turns out not to be important, or it turns out to be too difficult to figure out how to affect the long-term future.
 
* [[Safety by default argument against AI safety]]: AI will be more or less aligned to human interests by default, possibly by analogy to things like bridges and airplanes (i.e. it's bad if bridges randomly fall down, so engineers work hard by default to ensure bridges are safe).
 
* [[Safety by default argument against AI safety]]: AI will be more or less aligned to human interests by default, possibly by analogy to things like bridges and airplanes (i.e. it's bad if bridges randomly fall down, so engineers work hard by default to ensure bridges are safe).
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* [[Doomer argument against AI safety]]: we are so screwed that it's not even worth working on AI safety. A variant is, there are various worldviews about AI safety, and in the more optimistic ones things will very likely go right or additional effort has no effect on existential probability so it's not worth working on it, and in the more pessimistic ones things are almost surely to fail so there is no point in working on it.
 
* [[Objective morality argument against AI safety]]: All sufficiently intelligent beings converge to some objective morality (either because [[moral realism]] is true, or due to [[acausal trade]] as discussed in "[[The Hour I First Believed]]"), so there is no need to worry about superintelligent AI going again human values.
 
* [[Objective morality argument against AI safety]]: All sufficiently intelligent beings converge to some objective morality (either because [[moral realism]] is true, or due to [[acausal trade]] as discussed in "[[The Hour I First Believed]]"), so there is no need to worry about superintelligent AI going again human values.
 
* [[Slow growth argument against AI safety]]: explosive growth (such as [[recursive self-improvement]] or [[em economy]]) are not possible, so there is no need to worry about the world changing rapidly once AGI arrives.
 
* [[Slow growth argument against AI safety]]: explosive growth (such as [[recursive self-improvement]] or [[em economy]]) are not possible, so there is no need to worry about the world changing rapidly once AGI arrives.

Revision as of 18:20, 20 May 2021

This is a list of arguments against working on AI safety. Personally I think the only one that's not totally weak is opportunity cost, and for that I plan to continue to read somewhat widely in search of better cause areas.

Buck lists a few more at https://eaforum.issarice.com/posts/53JxkvQ7RKAJ4nHc4/some-thoughts-on-deference-and-inside-view-models#Proofs_vs_proof_sketches but actually i don't think those are such good counter-arguments.

more reasons listed here: https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2105/2105.02704.pdf#page=6