Difference between revisions of "List of AI safety projects I could work on"
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| − | + | evening tier = I can make useful/meaningful progress within one hour and even when I am somewhat tired from having done other stuff during the day (at the limit, think of things like [[Duolingo]] where each task can be accomplished in a few seconds) | |
| − | + | weekend tier = I can make useful progress if I make it my main thing for a single day, e.g. on a weekend day. Alternatively, I can make progress within 1-2 hours as long as I am mentally alert and feeling fine. | |
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| + | vacation tier = I need more than a day or two of concentrated "good" time to focus on this, either because the task itself is not clearly defined (so I need to do lots of brainstorming and thinking to figure out next steps), or because it requires keeping lots of things in my head so I cannot be context-switching with other tasks (i.e. if I work on it for a few hours, then I might get distracted by another project and forget what I was doing) | ||
==Writing up my opinions== | ==Writing up my opinions== | ||
Revision as of 00:10, 18 November 2020
(November 2020)
evening tier = I can make useful/meaningful progress within one hour and even when I am somewhat tired from having done other stuff during the day (at the limit, think of things like Duolingo where each task can be accomplished in a few seconds)
weekend tier = I can make useful progress if I make it my main thing for a single day, e.g. on a weekend day. Alternatively, I can make progress within 1-2 hours as long as I am mentally alert and feeling fine.
vacation tier = I need more than a day or two of concentrated "good" time to focus on this, either because the task itself is not clearly defined (so I need to do lots of brainstorming and thinking to figure out next steps), or because it requires keeping lots of things in my head so I cannot be context-switching with other tasks (i.e. if I work on it for a few hours, then I might get distracted by another project and forget what I was doing)
Contents
Writing up my opinions
- writing some sort of overview of my beliefs regarding AI safety. like, if i was explaining things from scratch to someone, what would that sound like? (big chunk)
- my current take on AI timelines (big chunk)
- my current take on AI takeoff (big chunk)
- my current take on MIRI vs Paul (big chunk)
Research projects
- continue working out AI takeoff disagreements (big chunk)
- continue working out MIRI vs Paul (big chunk)
- HRAD paper with David Manheim (big chunk)
- concrete plausible scenarios for what could happen when AGI comes around (big chunk)
- deep dive into human evolution to figure out what the heck it might tell us about AI takeoff/AI timelines (big chunk)
- comparison of AI and nukes (big chunk)
- think about AI polarization, using examples like COVID and climate change (big chunk)
- write up my understanding of people's views on whole brain emulation (big chunk)
Technical AI safety
- I still don't feel motivated to do this since I don't feel convinced by any existing worldview/visualization that has been put forth (by e.g. MIRI or Paul) (big chunk)
AI safety wiki
- Writing articles for AI safety wiki (big chunk)
The Vipul Strategy
- Expanding AI Watch to cover agendas, documents, more people/orgs with more columns filled in, graphs, automated yearly review of orgs, etc. (chunk size depends on task -- adding data is small chunk but bigger strategic additions are big chunk)
- Updates to timeline of AI safety and other relevant timelines (small chunk)
- Timeline of Eliezer Yudkowsky publications https://github.com/riceissa/project-ideas/issues/16 (small chunk)
- Wikipedia pages for AGI projects https://github.com/riceissa/project-ideas/issues/22 (big chunk)
Increase activity on LessWrong
- Ask lots of questions on LW, e.g.: (chunk size depends on question; I believe I can rush through and ask certain questions within an hour)
- Applicability of FDT/UDT/TDT to everyday life https://github.com/riceissa/project-ideas/issues/44
Exposition of technical topics
- Solomonoff induction guide (I think I've already figured out things here that are not explained anywhere, so I think I could write the best guide on it, but it's not clear how important this is for people to understand) (big chunk)
- Pearl belief propagation guide (big chunk)
- Summarizing/distilling work that has been done in decision theory (big chunk)
- starting something like RAISE; see There is room for something like RAISE (big chunk)
Personal reflection
- reflection post about getting involved with AI safety (big chunk)
Philosophy
- human values/deliberation (big chunk)
Learn stuff
- learn more machine learning so I can better follow some discussions (big chunk)
- learn more economics. I somewhat often feel confused about how to think about various AI strategy questions (e.g. history of growth, how AI systems might cooperate and increase economies of scale, what percentage of GDP might be used for computing costs) and I suspect part of the reason is that I don't know enough economics. (big chunk)
- understand the neuromorphic AI pathways that people like Steve Byrnes and gwern have been talking about (small chunk)
- there are a lot of blog posts that I could catch up on (small chunk)
