Difference between revisions of "Hyperbolic growth"
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* https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/modeling-human-trajectory | * https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/modeling-human-trajectory | ||
* https://mdickens.me/2020/07/17/commentary_on_modeling_human_trajectory/ | * https://mdickens.me/2020/07/17/commentary_on_modeling_human_trajectory/ | ||
| + | * https://aiimpacts.org/was-the-industrial-revolution-a-drastic-departure-from-historic-trends/ | ||
My personal confusion with this whole topic is something like: how does our belief in AI takeoff change if we believe the continuous vs discontinuous story? It seems like my own visualization of takeoff shape has more to do with the inside view details of what AI will look like, and doesn't have anything to do with whether or not the Industrial Revolution broke an existing pattern or not. | My personal confusion with this whole topic is something like: how does our belief in AI takeoff change if we believe the continuous vs discontinuous story? It seems like my own visualization of takeoff shape has more to do with the inside view details of what AI will look like, and doesn't have anything to do with whether or not the Industrial Revolution broke an existing pattern or not. | ||
[[Category:AI safety]] | [[Category:AI safety]] | ||
Revision as of 22:03, 4 January 2021
- https://sideways-view.com/2017/10/04/hyperbolic-growth/
- https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/04/22/1960-the-year-the-singularity-was-cancelled/
- https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CWFn9qAKsRibpCGq8/does-economic-history-point-toward-a-singularity
- https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/modeling-human-trajectory
- https://mdickens.me/2020/07/17/commentary_on_modeling_human_trajectory/
- https://aiimpacts.org/was-the-industrial-revolution-a-drastic-departure-from-historic-trends/
My personal confusion with this whole topic is something like: how does our belief in AI takeoff change if we believe the continuous vs discontinuous story? It seems like my own visualization of takeoff shape has more to do with the inside view details of what AI will look like, and doesn't have anything to do with whether or not the Industrial Revolution broke an existing pattern or not.
