Christiano's operationalization of slow takeoff

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In a 2018 blog post, Paul Christiano provided the following operationalization of slow takeoff: "There will be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles. (Similarly, we’ll see an 8 year doubling before a 2 year doubling, etc.)"[1] Subsequently, this operationalization has been cited by many others in discussions of AI takeoff.

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