Difference between revisions of "Christiano's operationalization of slow takeoff"

From Issawiki
Jump to: navigation, search
(External links)
 
(3 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown)
Line 3: Line 3:
 
==External links==
 
==External links==
  
* https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/AfGmsjGPXN97kNp57/arguments-about-fast-takeoff/comment/ZyJwKwDrX5jWujXxo
+
* https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/AfGmsjGPXN97kNp57/arguments-about-fast-takeoff/comment/ZyJwKwDrX5jWujXxo -- a technical point about the mathematics of this operationalization
 +
* https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/aFaKhG86tTrKvtAnT/against-gdp-as-a-metric-for-timelines-and-takeoff-speeds
 +
* https://aiimpacts.org/precedents-for-economic-n-year-doubling-before-4n-year-doubling/ -- counterexamples to the operationalization looking at historical GDP progress
  
 
==References==
 
==References==

Latest revision as of 23:48, 25 February 2021

In a 2018 blog post, Paul Christiano provided the following operationalization of slow takeoff: "There will be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles. (Similarly, we’ll see an 8 year doubling before a 2 year doubling, etc.)"[1] Subsequently, this operationalization has been cited by many others in discussions of AI takeoff.

External links

References