Difference between revisions of "AlphaGo"

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(Eliezer's commentary)
(Eliezer's commentary)
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! Date !! Initial segment + link !! Description
 
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| 2016-01-27 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10153914357214228 People occasionally ask me about signs that the remaining timeline might be short. It's *very* easy for nonprofessionals to take too much alarm too easily. Deep Blue beating Kasparov at chess was *not* such a sign. Robotic cars are *not* such a sign.] ||
 
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| 2016-02-08 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10153941386639228 I have one bet on at 2:3 against AlphaGo winning against Sedol in March - they get my $667 if AlphaGo wins, I get their $1000 if AlphaGo loses] ||
 
| 2016-02-08 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10153941386639228 I have one bet on at 2:3 against AlphaGo winning against Sedol in March - they get my $667 if AlphaGo wins, I get their $1000 if AlphaGo loses] ||
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| 2016-02-29 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10153987984049228 This suggests that AlphaGo beating Sedol in March might not be nearly as out-of-character fast progress as I thought] ||
 
| 2016-02-29 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10153987984049228 This suggests that AlphaGo beating Sedol in March might not be nearly as out-of-character fast progress as I thought] ||
 
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| 2016-03-09 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154010758639228 Second match ongoing. #AlphaGo just made a move that everyone is saying nobody else would have played. #Sedol walked out of the room with his clock running, presumably to think about it.]
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| 2016-03-08 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154008064814228 With regards to tonight's match of Deepmind vs. Sedol, an example of an outcome that would indicate strong general AI progress would be if a sweating, nervous Sedol resigns on his first move, or if a bizarre-seeming pattern of Go stones causes Sedol to have a seizure.] ||
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| 2016-03-09 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154010758639228 Second match ongoing. #AlphaGo just made a move that everyone is saying nobody else would have played. #Sedol walked out of the room with his clock running, presumably to think about it.] ||
 
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| 2016-03-10 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154011176819228 It's possible that, contrary to hopeful commentators, #AlphaGo is not actually enriching the Go game for humans] ||
 
| 2016-03-10 || [https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154011176819228 It's possible that, contrary to hopeful commentators, #AlphaGo is not actually enriching the Go game for humans] ||
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* https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154008064814228
 
* https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10153914357214228
 
 
* https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154120081504228
 
* https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154120081504228
 
* https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154009668254228
 
* https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154009668254228

Revision as of 21:56, 13 June 2020

AlphaGo and its successor AlphaGo Zero are used to make various points in AI safety.

Eliezer's commentary

Date Initial segment + link Description
2016-01-27 People occasionally ask me about signs that the remaining timeline might be short. It's *very* easy for nonprofessionals to take too much alarm too easily. Deep Blue beating Kasparov at chess was *not* such a sign. Robotic cars are *not* such a sign.
2016-02-08 I have one bet on at 2:3 against AlphaGo winning against Sedol in March - they get my $667 if AlphaGo wins, I get their $1000 if AlphaGo loses
2016-02-29 This suggests that AlphaGo beating Sedol in March might not be nearly as out-of-character fast progress as I thought
2016-03-08 With regards to tonight's match of Deepmind vs. Sedol, an example of an outcome that would indicate strong general AI progress would be if a sweating, nervous Sedol resigns on his first move, or if a bizarre-seeming pattern of Go stones causes Sedol to have a seizure.
2016-03-09 Second match ongoing. #AlphaGo just made a move that everyone is saying nobody else would have played. #Sedol walked out of the room with his clock running, presumably to think about it.
2016-03-10 It's possible that, contrary to hopeful commentators, #AlphaGo is not actually enriching the Go game for humans
2016-03-11 (Long.) As I post this, AlphaGo seems almost sure to win the third game and the match.
2016-03-13 And then AlphaGo got confused in a way no human would and lost its 4th game
2016-03-13 Okay, look, to everyone going "Aha but of course superhuman cognition will always be bugged for deep reason blah": Please remember that machine chess *is* out of the phase where a human can analyze it psychologically without computer assistance
2017-10-19 AlphaGo Zero uses 4 TPUs, is built entirely out of neural nets with no handcrafted features, doesn't pretrain against expert games or anything else human, reaches a superhuman level after 3 days of self-play, and is the strongest version of AlphaGo yet