Difference between revisions of "List of timelines for futuristic technologies"
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what are all of the "default timelines" of various technologies? | what are all of the "default timelines" of various technologies? | ||
| − | * de novo AGI | + | * de novo AGI; see [[AI timelines]] |
* [[whole brain emulation]] | * [[whole brain emulation]] | ||
* [[nanotechnology]] | * [[nanotechnology]] | ||
| − | * [[iterated embryo selection]] | + | * human intelligence enhancement |
| − | * [[genome synthesis]] + other stuff mentioned in https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection#overview-of-major-approaches | + | ** [[iterated embryo selection]] |
| + | ** [[genome synthesis]] + other stuff mentioned in https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection#overview-of-major-approaches | ||
| + | ** drugs that can make people smart?? | ||
| + | ** brain implants?? | ||
| + | * anti-aging | ||
| + | |||
| + | there are also various kinds of timelines: | ||
| + | |||
| + | * "default timeline" | ||
| + | * timeline given lots of additional funding | ||
| + | * timeline given current levels of interest in the thing | ||
| + | * timeline after EA intervention | ||
| + | |||
| + | there's also the question of relative vs absolute timelines. given all the "game-changing technologies", it makes sense to focus on the one that relatively speaking will come first. but also, if all of them are far off, we can do more strategizing/indirect stuff. | ||
Latest revision as of 01:01, 26 March 2021
what are all of the "default timelines" of various technologies?
- de novo AGI; see AI timelines
- whole brain emulation
- nanotechnology
- human intelligence enhancement
- iterated embryo selection
- genome synthesis + other stuff mentioned in https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection#overview-of-major-approaches
- drugs that can make people smart??
- brain implants??
- anti-aging
there are also various kinds of timelines:
- "default timeline"
- timeline given lots of additional funding
- timeline given current levels of interest in the thing
- timeline after EA intervention
there's also the question of relative vs absolute timelines. given all the "game-changing technologies", it makes sense to focus on the one that relatively speaking will come first. but also, if all of them are far off, we can do more strategizing/indirect stuff.
