Difference between revisions of "Comparison of AI takeoff scenarios"

Revision as of 09:42, 22 February 2020

Scenario	Significant changes to the world prior to critical AI capability threshold being reached?	Intelligence explosion?	Decisive strategic advantage?
Yudkowskian hard takeoff	No	Yes	Yes
Paul's slow takeoff	Yes	Yes	No
Daniel Kokotajlo	Yes	Yes	Yes
Hansonian slow takeoff	Yes	No	No
Eric Drexler's CAIS	Yes	No? I think he says something weird, like all of the AI systems together recursively self-improving at the all-AI-services-combined level, without a single agent-like AI that self-improves.	No?

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 | [[Hansonian]] slow takeoff || Yes || No || No
 |-
-| [[Eric Drexler]]'s CAIS || Yes || ? doesn't he says something weird, like all of the AI systems together recursively self-improving, without a single agent-like AI that self-improves? || No?
+| [[Eric Drexler]]'s CAIS || Yes || No? I think he says something weird, like all of the AI systems together recursively self-improving at the all-AI-services-combined level, without a single agent-like AI that self-improves. || No?
 |}